| Date | Title | Description |
| 01.03.2026 | US-Iran bets mint millions on prediction markets; Donald Trump Jr linked to key platforms: Report | - |
| 01.12.2025 | As regime change looms at the Fed, one candidate emerges as front-runner for chair | National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett has been dubbed the clear favorite for the next Federal Reserve chair.
Asked Sunday about the situation, Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One, “I know who I am going to pick, yeah. We’ll... |
| 05.11.2024 | Traders reduce U.S. Dollar exposure as Kamala Harris’ prospects brighten | The U.S. dollar fell in the first trading session of the week as currency traders pulled out of “Trump trades” that had benefited in recent weeks from speculation that former Republican President Donald Trump was more likely to defeat Democ... |
| 05.11.2024 | Dollar slips as FX traders gird for US election outcome | LONDON :The dollar eased on Tuesday as traders squared positions ahead of what is expected to be a close U.S. presidential election, while options volatility soared after recent polls dented some market bets on a victory for Republican Dona... |
| 04.11.2024 | Dollar slips as traders unwind Trump trades | CurrenciesDollar slips as traders unwind Trump trades
By Karen Brettell and Medha SinghNovember 4, 20243:55 PM UTCUpdated ago
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| 29.10.2024 | National Politics | The polls say the presidential election is a dead heat. But online bettors are leaning to Trump. Who’s right? | In the past couple of weeks, people who are staking money on the outcome of the election in so-called “prediction markets” are indicating that the momentum is swinging toward Trump.
One market, the New Zealand-based PredictIt, showed that t... |
| 28.10.2024 | Robinhood rolls out US presidential election derivatives trading as race heats up | Future of MoneyRobinhood rolls out US presidential election derivatives trading as race heats up
By Manya SainiOctober 28, 202410:13 AM UTCUpdated ago
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| 18.10.2024 | From bitcoin to Mexican peso, ‘Trump trades’ are appearing again | U.S. MarketsUS Elections
Donald Trump
From bitcoin to Mexican peso, ‘Trump trades’ are appearing again
By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed and Suzanne McGeeOctober 18, 20242:18 PM UTCUpdated ago
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| 15.10.2024 | Trump Media dives, wipes out early rally in second heaviest trading session | U.S. MarketsDonald Trump
Trump Media dives, wipes out early rally in second heaviest trading session
By Noel RandewichOctober 15, 20248:59 PM UTCUpdated ago
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| 14.10.2024 | Shares of Trump Media extend huge comeback | U.S. MarketsDonald Trump
Shares of Trump Media extend huge comeback
By ReutersOctober 14, 20246:12 PM UTCUpdated ago
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| 12.09.2024 | The Battle for Change: Harris vs. Trump in the 2024 Presidential Debate | The stage was set in Philadelphia. Two titans clashed. Kamala Harris, the Democratic Vice President, faced off against Donald Trump, the former president and Republican nominee. The stakes were high. With just eight weeks until Election Day... |
| 12.09.2024 | Taylor Swift's Political Power Play: A Game Changer for Kamala Harris | In the world of politics, endorsements can be the spark that ignites a campaign. Taylor Swift, a titan of pop culture, has stepped into the political arena once again. On September 10, 2024, she broke her silence and threw her weight behind... |
| 11.09.2024 | Harris puts Trump on defensive in fiery presidential debate | PHILADELPHIA: Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris put Republican Donald Trump on the defensive at a combative presidential debate on Tuesday (Sep 10) with a stream of attacks on abortion limits, his fitness for office and his myriad leg... |
| 11.09.2024 | US dollar mixed after inflation report supports smaller Fed rate cut | NEW YORK: The US dollar was mixed overall on Wednesday (Sep 11) in choppy trading after data showed underlying inflation in the world's largest economy rose in August, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will likely implement ... |
| 11.09.2024 | Trump Media slumps as bets on Harris victory rise after presidential debate | United StatesDonald Trump
Trump Media slumps as bets on Harris victory rise after presidential debate
By Medha SinghSeptember 11, 202412:07 PM UTCUpdated ago
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| 09.09.2024 | Kalshi's U.S. Election Markets Delayed Until Friday at Earliest | Kalshi may be basking in the glory of a court victory over regulators, but it will have to wait at least until Friday to list its long-sought prediction markets on the upcoming U.S. election.
On Monday afternoon, Judge Jia Cobb of the U.S. ... |
| 20.08.2024 | Shares of Trump's media firm sink to record low | U.S. MarketsShares of Trump's media firm sink to record low
By Chibuike OguhAugust 20, 20248:13 PM UTCUpdated ago
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| 19.08.2024 | Harris Leads Trump on Polymarket as DNC Begins, but They Got Tied Earlier Amid Volatility | This week in prediction markets:
Trump-Harris makes for a volatile market
RFK is seen dropping out by November, but probably won't endorse Trump
China's "bitcoin ban" is more complicated than Justin Sun thinks
Bettors trade volati... |
| 14.08.2024 | Shares of Trump's media firm near record low following his return to X | Media & TelecomShares of Trump's media firm near record low following his return to X
By Harshita Mary VargheseAugust 14, 20246:18 PM UTCUpdated ago
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| 05.08.2024 | Harris Likely to Pick Pennsylvania Gov. Shapiro for Veep, Prediction Markets Say | This week in prediction markets:
Kamala Harris will likely pick Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro as her running mate.
Harris has gained on Donald Trump on Polymarket but hasn't closed the gap, unlike in polls.
Traders are betting on the Olymp... |
| 23.07.2024 | Prediction markets are starting to take off | - |
| 29.05.2024 | Blackburn earns VP buzz while running for re-election | figcaption>span]:font-sans">
While U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn campaigns to keep her Senate seat, her name is being mentioned by media outlets as a possible running mate for former President Trump.
Why it matters: Blackburn has th... |
| 09.02.2024 | Biden: "I am an elderly man ... I know what the hell I'm doing" | For years now, President Biden's advisers have carefully choreographed his every move to avoid what exploded into view over six hours Thursday: a vivid display of an elderly, irritable man struggling on a public stage.
Why it matters: Days ... |
| 07.01.2024 | Trump or Biden in 2024? Bernstein shares an investing playbook for profiting either way — including 28 stock picks to buy if Republicans take back the White House | Markets Trump or Biden in 2024? Bernstein shares an investing playbook for profiting either way — including 28 stock picks to buy if Republicans take back the White House
James Faris
2024-01-07T10:37:01Z
Share icon An curved arrow pointing ... |
| 10.11.2022 | Who Will Win Georgia, Nevada, and Arizona? What the Betting Markets Say. | The betting market has put even greater odds on Democrats keeping control of the Senate amid unresolved midterm races in Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia that will determine control of the chamber.
The online prediction market PredictIt said th... |
| 18.10.2022 | Michigan Doesn’t Want Another Lockdown | What’s going on in the Wolverine State? Establishment politicians and political pundits long ago decided that Republican gubernatorial candidate Tudor Dixon had virtually no chance of defeating incumbent Democrat Gov. Gretchen Whitmer. Now ... |
| 21.08.2022 | Election risk could soon take center stage for the stock market - and investors should reduce risk as equities historically underperform going into mid-terms, Barclays says | Stock market investors will soon shift their attention on the US mid-term elections, Barclays says.
"The tide seems to have turned in favour of the Democrats to hold their Senate majority," the bank said.
Advertisement
Stock marke... |
| 04.06.2022 | Forecasting, Prediction Markets and the Age of Better Information
What are prediction markets?
Prediction markets today
Prediction markets tomorrow | Our new Constitution is now established, and has an appearance that promises permanency; but in this world nothing can be said to be certain, except death and taxes.
Benjamin Franklin
The human brain evolved to forecast.
Born into a world o... |
| 02.05.2022 | Ohio's Senate Candidates Stake Out Crypto Positions | CLEVELAND – Ohio has a long history of success in the fields of iron and steel, less so in bytes and bits, and its history with cryptocurrencies is short and largely aspirational.
In 2018, Ohio became the first U.S. state to allow businesse... |
| 17.02.2022 | How the 'Big Short DAO' Bet Against the Crypto Market and Won | In late November, a pseudonymous crypto trader behind the Twitter handle @GiganticRebirth issued a warning to his legion of over 85,000 followers.
“High confidence interval that we're very late in the cycle [and that cycles still exist],” h... |
| 12.11.2021 | What are investors focused on for the next Fed chair? | Many investors have been expecting that Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who was nominated for the role by President Donald Trump in 2017, would be renominated for another four-year stint.
Still, it is not seen as a done deal. Biden is still weighi... |
| 12.11.2021 | What are investors focused on for the next Fed chair? | NEW YORK, Nov 12 (Reuters) - A lack of news over U.S. President Joe Biden's pick for Federal Reserve chair is introducing unpredictability for investors at a crucial time, as the central bank prepares to taper its asset purchases and start ... |
| 15.10.2021 | Powell still favorite for Fed reinstatement but investors examine alternatives | Powell's odds in betting markets have fallen following sharp criticism of his performance by progressive Democrats and a trading scandal among Federal Reserve officials. [L1N2R020J]
Online betting website PredictIt now gives https://www.pre... |
| 04.10.2021 | Jerome Powell's chances of another Fed term are slipping amid stock-trading controversies, betting markets show | Jerome Powell's chances of remaining Fed chair for a second term are slipping, according to betting markets.
Powell's chances fell from about 80% in August to 61% today, according to PredictIt.
The slide in the odds comes amid stock trading... |
| 24.09.2021 | Wall Street eyes four more years for Powell at Fed | Wall Street expects Powell, who was nominated for the role by President Donald Trump in 2017 and confirmed by the Senate, to be renominated by President Joe Biden for another four-year stint.
"I think the market would like that because... |
| 23.09.2021 | From Lil Nas X to the climate, Kalshi wants to let investors bet on it all | Subscribe to Fortune Daily to get essential business stories straight to your inbox each morning.
Wall Street has a new asset to bet on: Lil Nas X’s album.
Or, more specifically, the success of it. Upstart financial exchange Kalshi is givin... |
| 19.09.2021 | How the Prediction Markets Are Wagering on Canada’s Election | Canada was supposed to be the perfect country, the old maxim goes: It was going to have French culture, American ingenuity and British politics. Unfortunately, it ended up with American culture, British ingenuity and French politics.
The wo... |
| 06.09.2021 | Betting markets swing in favor of Gov. Gavin Newsom as California recall effort enters home stretch | According to betting website PredictIt, last week California Gov. Gavin Newsom reached his strongest position for staying in office since early July.
Recent polls among likely voters in the recall election have swung in Newsom’s favor.
The ... |
| 13.07.2021 | Let’s Bet on the Next Big Policy Crisis—No, Really | Will Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko—“Europe’s last dictator,” who ordered the hijacking of a plane to apprehend a dissident journalist—still be in power in 2024?
Nobody knows, of course. But it’s a question that the U.S. governme... |
| 17.02.2021 | How I Podcast: Election Profit Makers’ David Rees | The beauty of podcasting is that anyone can do it. It’s a rare medium that’s nearly as easy to make as it is to consume. And as such, no two people do it exactly the same way. There are a wealth of hardware and software solutions open to po... |
| 04.01.2021 | Explainer: How investors view the Georgia U.S. Senate runoff | By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, John McCrank
6 Min Read
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Investors have been weighing a major political unknown since the November election that could ripple through asset prices: control of the Senate.
FILE PHOTO: Senator Kelly L... |
| 03.11.2020 | The 2020 Elections Are Boosting Crypto Prediction Markets | In just over three weeks, the trading volume on decentralized betting platform Polymarket went from zero to almost $3 million.
As of Monday, Polymarket’s “Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?” had over $2.8 million worth of b... |
| 21.10.2020 | As U.S. election odds narrow, market analysts factor in higher risks | By Reuters Staff
3 Min Read
FILE PHOTO: A sign encouraging voter turnout is seen at a campaign yard sign distribution site in Madison, Wisconsin, U.S., October 17, 2020. REUTERS/Bing Guan/File Photo
LONDON/NEW YORK (Reuters) - A higher risk... |
| 30.09.2020 | Election 2020 Prediction Markets: Bettors Say Trump Lost Tuesday's Debate | With the first Trump–Biden debate now smoldering behind us, the betting markets have picked their winner. That also means they've decided on a loser: President Donald Trump.
Tuesday marked the first time the incumbent squared off face-to-fa... |
| 02.09.2020 | Prediction Markets' Time Has Come, but They Aren't Ready for It | This should be prediction markets’ moment to shine.
In about 60 days, Americans will vote in a presidential election both sides consider pivotal for the country’s future amid a pandemic, civil unrest and the highest unemployment levels in a... |
| 14.08.2020 | Here’s A Deeper Dive Into Biden’s Tax Hikes | Former Vice President Joe Biden wants to raise taxes on the wealthy and rollback the corporate tax ... [+] cuts passed in 2017. (Photo by Mark Makela/Getty Images)Getty Images |
| 18.09.2017 | Trump’s chance to reshape the Federal Reserve could be his biggest economic legacy | Reporting from Washington —
President Trump is betting he can turbocharge the U.S. economy with tax cuts and trade deals, but his greatest leverage to influence growth may rest with an unparalleled opportunity to reshape the world’s most po... |
| 15.05.2017 | Meet the German Baron Who Thinks Blockchain Will Beat the Middlemen | The former head of Germany's armed forces is now helping to bring blockchain tech to some of the world's largest financial institutions.
An early advisor to distributed financial technology firm Ripple, not to mention a bonafide German baro... |
| - | Trump Media shares surge 17% to highest level in six weeks | Shares of former President Donald Trump’s media company hit their highest closing level in about six weeks on Thursday, with the stock rising 17% on brisk volume as it extended recent gains.
Truth Social parent Trump Media & Technology ... |
| - | What the Supreme Court Oral Arguments Mean for Tariff Payers and Tariff Refund Claim Buyers | The Supreme Court has heard oral argument in a case to determine whether the Trump administration’s sweeping tariff regime, imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), is lawful. In August, the U.S. Court of Appea... |
| - | What would a second Trump presidency mean for China? Goldman Sachs weighs in | If Donald Trump wins the U.S. presidential election, his plans for 60% tariffs on Chinese goods could be a “major downside growth risk” to China, according to Goldman Sachs.
China’s economy grew by 4.7% in the second quarter compared to a y... |
