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Stalled Highways and Rising Recoveries: A Tale of Infrastructure and Finance in India

February 3, 2025, 10:48 pm
National Highways Authority of India
National Highways Authority of India
GovTech
Location: India, Delhi, New Delhi
Employees: 1001-5000
Founded date: 1988
Total raised: $4.83B
CRISIL Limited
CRISIL Limited
AnalyticsCommerceCultureDataFinTechGrowthInfrastructureInsurTechProviderResearch
Location: India, Maharashtra, Mumbai
Employees: 5001-10000
Founded date: 1987
In the heart of Telangana, a roadblock looms. Eleven National Highway projects sit idle, caught in a web of bureaucratic red tape. The reason? Pending forest clearances from the central government. These projects are not just lines on a map; they are lifelines for communities, economic arteries waiting to pulse with activity.

The state government is scrambling to untangle this mess. They are in constant dialogue with the Union government, hoping to secure the necessary environmental approvals. The Ministry of Road Transport and Highways and the National Highways Authority of India (NHAI) are on board, working to compile the required details for the Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change (MoEF&CC).

Chief Minister A Revanth Reddy recently made a trip to New Delhi to discuss the delays with Union Forest and Environment Minister Bhupendra Yadav. The conversation revealed the culprits behind the hold-up: land allocation for compensatory afforestation, regulatory violations, and mitigation measures. The approval process is poised to move forward once all necessary details are submitted.

The stakes are high. A total of 145.62 hectares of forest land is earmarked for diversion to facilitate these highway projects. The roads in question include vital routes like the Armoor-Jagtial-Mancherial road and the Hyderabad-Bhoopalapatnam road. Each project represents a promise of connectivity, commerce, and growth.

Meanwhile, in the financial sector, a different story unfolds. Asset Reconstruction Companies (ARCs) are on the rise. According to Crisil Ratings, the cumulative recovery rate of security receipts (SRs) issued by ARCs is set to soar by 15 percentage points, reaching 75-80% by the next fiscal year. This marks the second consecutive year of recovery growth.

ARCs acquire stressed loans from financial institutions at a discount and issue SRs. The cumulative recovery rate is a measure of how much money is being recouped compared to what was issued. The reasons for this upswing are threefold: strong performance in key infrastructure sectors, a higher share of retail and low-vintage assets, and a slowdown in new acquisitions compared to recoveries.

The performance of stressed assets in real estate, thermal power, and roads is driving this recovery. The Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) is acting as a catalyst, encouraging debt restructuring. This strategy is becoming a preferred method for both asset promoters and ARCs.

The recent regulatory amendment allowing ARCs to acquire special mention accounts (SMAs) has been a boon. SMAs are accounts that show signs of stress but have not yet been classified as non-performing assets (NPAs). This allows ARCs to act swiftly, avoiding lengthy legal battles and facilitating quicker recoveries.

Crisil's analysis of ₹38,000 crore worth of rated SRs indicates that a significant portion of the expected recovery will come from stressed assets in real estate, thermal power, and roads. The agency predicts that out of an anticipated recovery of ₹12,000 crore, half will stem from these sectors.

The residential real estate market is showing signs of life. Property prices are climbing, and inventories are shrinking in major cities. Thermal power plants are benefiting from increased demand and stable coal supplies. Meanwhile, the National Highways Authority of India is ensuring timely payments, further aiding recovery for stressed road assets.

Debt restructuring is now the dominant strategy for ARCs, overshadowing the sale of assets. Among Crisil-rated SRs, about half have undergone restructuring. This approach yields higher recovery rates, averaging 85-90% of the debt.

As the landscape shifts, ARCs are focusing on acquiring more low-vintage assets. In the first half of this fiscal year, SMAs accounted for 22% of new acquisitions, a significant jump from just 4% the previous year. This trend is expected to continue, with retail loan portfolios also contributing to the recovery narrative.

However, the road ahead is not without challenges. The moderation in new acquisitions due to controlled gross NPAs means that ARCs must adapt their strategies to sustain long-term growth. The balance between recovering stressed assets and pursuing new acquisitions will be crucial.

In summary, the stories of stalled highways in Telangana and rising recoveries in the financial sector reflect the broader narrative of India's infrastructure and economic landscape. On one hand, the promise of connectivity hangs in the balance, while on the other, financial institutions are finding new pathways to recovery. Both scenarios underscore the intricate dance between regulation, environment, and economic growth.

As the government works to clear the path for highways, ARCs are navigating the complex terrain of distressed assets. Each sector, in its own way, is a testament to resilience and the relentless pursuit of progress. The future may be uncertain, but the drive for development remains unwavering.