Budget 2025: A Balancing Act on the Tightrope of Politics and Economics

October 3, 2024, 10:07 am
Baker Tilly Ireland
Baker Tilly Ireland
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Location: Ireland, Leinster, Dublin
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Founded date: 1922
Budget 2025 has arrived, and with it, a flurry of opinions and assessments. The government’s financial blueprint is like a carefully crafted tightrope act, balancing the needs of citizens with the demands of political survival. As the dust settles, the question remains: did the government manage to walk the line without falling?

At first glance, the budget appears to be a patchwork quilt, stitched together with promises and pledges. It aims to cater to a wide audience, but critics argue it lacks the depth needed to truly support key sectors. The government has thrown a few bones to various groups, but many feel it’s not enough to satiate the hunger for real change.

Brendan Murphy, head of tax at Baker Tilly Ireland, has emerged as a key voice in this conversation. He describes the budget as an “election budget,” suggesting it’s more about winning votes than addressing pressing economic issues. This sentiment resonates with many who see missed opportunities scattered throughout the budget’s pages.

Entrepreneurs, the lifeblood of any economy, have been left wanting. The government had a golden opportunity to ignite entrepreneurial spirit but instead opted for minor tweaks. The proposed changes to retirement relief, while well-intentioned, do little to encourage risk-taking. A tax bill for those selling transferred business assets within 12 years feels like a cold shower for budding entrepreneurs. Instead of a warm embrace, they’re met with a stiff hand.

The budget also addresses infrastructure, a critical area for growth. With a whopping €3 billion allocated, it seems the government is serious about development. However, the devil is in the details. Allocations for Irish Water and the electricity grid are commendable, but will they translate into tangible improvements? The public remains skeptical.

Housing is another hot-button issue. The government has introduced changes to Stamp Duty, particularly targeting high-value properties. The increase from 10% to 15% for bulk acquisitions is a bold move, but will it make a dent in the housing crisis? Many are left wondering if these measures are merely a band-aid on a gaping wound.

The hospitality sector, a vital component of the economy, has been largely overlooked. Industry experts had lobbied for a reduction in VAT rates, but their pleas fell on deaf ears. With restaurants closing at an alarming rate, the lack of support feels like a missed opportunity to revitalize a struggling industry.

The tech sector, another cornerstone of the economy, also finds itself in a precarious position. Promised changes to R&D tax credits and share schemes have been pushed down the line. This delay raises eyebrows and questions about the government’s commitment to fostering innovation. It feels like a game of political chess, with the government hoping to secure its position before making any bold moves.

The budget does include some positive notes. The national minimum wage is set to rise, providing relief to low-income earners. The extension of the Employment Investment Incentive and Start-Up Relief for Entrepreneurs signals a recognition of the need for support. However, these measures may not be enough to quell the growing discontent among those who feel left behind.

As the government prepares for the next election, it’s clear that Budget 2025 is a strategic play. It’s a balancing act, attempting to please various factions while navigating the turbulent waters of public opinion. But will it be enough? The answer remains uncertain.

In the coming months, the government will face scrutiny. Citizens will be watching closely to see if the promises made in this budget translate into real-world benefits. The tightrope walk continues, and the stakes are high.

Critics argue that the budget lacks a cohesive vision. It feels reactive rather than proactive. The government must do more than just respond to current issues; it needs to anticipate future challenges. A budget should be a roadmap, not just a reaction to the present.

As the political landscape shifts, the government must remain agile. The economy is a living organism, constantly evolving. A budget that fails to adapt risks becoming obsolete.

In conclusion, Budget 2025 is a mixed bag. It offers some glimmers of hope but falls short in key areas. The government has a chance to pivot, to listen to the voices of entrepreneurs, the hospitality sector, and the tech industry. The tightrope is precarious, but with the right adjustments, it can lead to a brighter economic future. The question is, will they take the leap? Only time will tell.